ISRAEL’S NUCLEAR DETERRENT #1 & #2

Saturday, Feb. 4, Jerusalem stood back and watched the United States buckle under European pressure and accept Egypt’s demand to incorporate the following phrase in the resolution on Iran:

The resolution recognized "that a solution to the Iranian issue would contribute to global non-proliferation efforts and… the objective of a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction, including their means of delivery."

This linkage between Iran’s violations of its commitments under international treaty and the Israeli case has long been demanded by the Arab states and opposed by Washington. Its acceptance now opens the way for the integration of the same linkage in the Security Council debate on Iran. It provides a pretext for a whole new set of maneuvers and dilatory tactics by Tehran.
For Israel, there are several serious ramifications:

1. The last batch of prime ministers, the late Yitzhak Rabin, Shimon Peres, Ehud Barak, Binyamin Netanyahu, Ariel Sharon and now Ehud Olmert, opted to leave the nuclear issue in the hands of the United States and the United Nations. None of them foresaw the day when the Israeli case would be dredged up as a stratagem to ease the passage of the Iranian nuclear crisis to the UN Security Council.

2. While the Vienna decision looks like a victory for Western diplomacy, Iran’s leaders have lost no time in seizing on it as a license to go full throttle ahead with their illicit uranium enrichment, free of UN spot inspections. Furthermore, they have been given added leverage: before halting their own program, they can demand that the entire Middle East be disarmed - first and foremost Israel.

3. The reference to weapons of mass destruction and means of delivery would also require Israel to give up its long-range missiles.

4. The Arab states will achieve their old ambition of forcing the Security Council to address Israel’s nuclear program.

5. The American surrender to the Arab demand was carried through by telephone between US secretary of state Condoleezza Rice and Egyptian foreign minister Aboul Gheit. Jerusalem was not brought into the picture and was taken completely unawares. This is an indicator of how Washington regards interim prime minister Ehud Olmert.

6. The Bush administration’s capitulation to Arab and European demands is part of the collapse of the larger US strategy in the Middle East ever since Hamas rose to victory two weeks ago. Washington’s changed attitude shows up in one issue after another, the Palestinians, Lebanon, Syria and now Iran.

Olmert and his foreign minister Tzipi Livni say they are pleased to see international opinion lining up behind their stipulations from Hamas, but this apparent alignment is no more than diplomatic claptrap. Europe has not halted its aid program for the Palestinian Authority claiming that the Hamas-led government is not yet in place. The Olmert government is about to follow suit. Despite all the high-flown sentiments about pre-conditions to force Hamas to disarm and recognize Israel, Mahmoud Abbas has started negotiations with the fanatical Islamic leaders on forming a new government, while they declare outright they have no intention of abandoning their objective of destroying Israel.

On all these fronts, Israel’s fundamental interests are fast eroding under inimical initiatives, while its government maintains a posture of complacent passivity.
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DE-NUCLEARIZING ISRAEL:
ISRAEL’S NUCLEAR DETERRENT #2
by Emanuel A. Winston

In the recent meeting of the United Nations IAEA: International Atomic Energy Agency, to determine what to do about the Rogue nation of Iran and its efforts to build Nuclear Weapons, the IAEA - with President Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s concurrence decided to add Israel to the list. This was proposed by Egypt in direct consultation with Secretary Rice. This was not the first time the Arabist State Department and Egypt conspired to de-nuclearize Israel.

As I progress in this article, think about Israel without a nuclear deterrence, centered among the nations of Egypt, Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia - each of which I will get back to shortly. The U.N.’s IAEA concluded with alternate language provided by the U.S. which changes the specific language to a general statement of "having the region free of WMD (Weapons of Mass Destruction)" including NBC (Nuclear, Biological and Chemical). Take that to mean that the Bush Administration has agreed to try stripping Israel of her Nuclear Deterrence and Long Range Missiles.

While still including Israel’s non-stated nuclear capability, it now included Chemical weapons held by Syria. All of this is supposed to be a fair exchange for Israel’s security.

Let us go back to the October 30,1991 Madrid Conference convened by U.S. President George H.W. Bush and his Secretary of State James Baker - together with the Soviet Union, who invited Israel, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, and the Palestinians. This was a Conference that turned into an ambush.

Israel’s Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir was sand-bagged by the participants, particularly by the U.S. State Department under James Baker’s control and represented by what has become known as his "Jew-Boys": Dennis Ross, Aaron Miller, Daniel Kurtzer. While they denied influencing the Conference, it was well-reported that they bounced from hotel room to hotel room manipulating the participants. (Never forget Baker’s Jew-Boys reflecting Baker’s policy.)

At the time, I made the prediction in print that somewhere in the proceedings an Arab nation probably Egypt, (counseled by Baker’s Jew-Boys) would pop up and call for Israel to stand down her nuclear deterrence. I was not surprised that near the end of the Conference, Egypt did make such a proposal. I was reasonably certain that, at the behest of James Baker III, his Jew-Boys would have suggested to Egypt that they propose that Israel be stripped of her nuclear deterrence. If Israel were to be eventually defeated, they could not have a retaliatory capacity of Nuclear Weapons.

Keep in mind that Baker and the State Department were pro-Arab ‘vis a vis’ Oil and anti-Israel - with a visceral layer of anti-Semitism. No need to go into the history of the State Department and its bedrock anti-Semitism from its earliest days to the present. No need to explain James Baker’s feelings about Jews, is there? Remember, "F... the Jews; they didn’t vote for us anyway."

In those early years, America had lost Iran to the Ayatollah Khomeini, thanks to the efforts of Jimmy Carter. During that Muslim Revolution, America also lost all the advanced American weapons’ systems in Iran’s inventory including the Phoenix missile system, the F-14 Tomcat - all of which ended up in the hands of the Soviets. They made good use of it by incorporating U.S. technology into the Soviet missile systems and aircraft.

After Carter lost Iran, who then was supposed to be America’s Policeman to watch over the Gulf oil states, the U.S. needed another surrogate ‘cop on the block’. So people like Casper Weinberger, then VP George Herbert Walker Bush, James Baker, Admiral Bobby Ray Inman - among others, picked Egypt. Weinberger, as Defense Secretary, created a complete factory in Egypt to manufacture America’s best and newest Main Battle Tank, the M1A1 Abrams.

The only problem was, he did it illegally, without authorization of Congress. Later her had to go to Congress for retroactive funding. He should have been summarily fired but, he had conspirator friends in high place. Egypt was to be our replacement for Iran as our American defense in the Middle East. The philosophy of State was that should Iraq, Iran, Syria decide to invade Saudi Arabia and take the oil fields that Egypt, representing U.S. interests would come to the rescue.

Naturally, they ignored the growing influence of Islam through the Muslim Brotherhood. So America has so far dumped more than $60 Billion of American tax-payers’ money in free aid - mostly in the form of our best weapons’ systems. Egypt became the military colossus in the Middle East. But, Islamic influence continued to grow exponentially in Egypt. Translate that to mean that when an aging President Hosni Mubarak dies or is assassinated, the Muslim Brotherhood will own that immense military force. Like Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood hates America, Israel and the Eurpeans. Clearly, Egypt has a great interest in seeing Israel deprived of her Nuclear Deterrence.

As I told you earlier, keep in mind the hostile nations who surround the Jewish State of Israel. Egypt’s self-serving interest as a "non-friend" of Israel is to have Israel stripped of her Nuclear Deterrence and relying only on conventional weapons to hold off collective attacks by the Arabs.

In the North, there is always the hostile spoiler, Syria, who is known to have what may be the largest stockpile of Chemically-tipped missiles in the region. Of course, Syria has special friends in Washington - which is why Syria is never touched.
While Iraq is temporarily in the throes of democratization - or so it is hoped - it looks like the Shi’ites will dominate Iraq after the ongoing Civil War.

Iran, of course, is similarly dominated by Shi’ites. Their new President Ahmadinejad was allegedly one of the Iranians who captured the American Embassy. His vile, outspoken words: "We’ll wipe Israel off the map!"...speaks for his character and intentions. Despite denials of the U.S. pundits, there seems little doubt that eventually there will be a confluence of interests between Iraq and Iran.

Iran now in the news everyday regarding its efforts to become a nuclear military power. Presently, the President of Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Ayatollahs are on a long term course of becoming the dominant power in the Middle East region. Supporting that is their wish as nuclear theocrats to bring the world under the domination of Islam and its strict Shari’a laws. Combining radical religion with nuclear weapons is a plan for Biblical Armageddon. They do not fear retaliation, given their belief that, dying for Islam and Allah brings them to a warriors’ Paradise. Some pacifists in the West will say: "Oh, C ‘mon, you don’t really think they believed all that crap!" Yes, they do!

When the friends and enemies of Israel and the Jews say that a nuclear-free Middle East will bring peace to Israel, you know what they mean. They think a vulnerable Israel without a Nuclear Deterrence, will be quickly over-run by the armies of the Muslim Arab countries and thus bring the wild nations of Islam back to a non-hostile peaceful existence. That business will take place in peace; that oil will flow and it will be worth the sacrifice of the tiny Jewish State of Israel. Naturally, before all those dreams are fulfilled, one would need to persuade the Jews to give up her Nuclear Deterrence. That is possible under the mis-placed guidance of Ehud Olmert, Shimon Peres and all the Leftists who brought us Oslo 1, Oslo 2, Cairo, Wye, the self-inflicted wound of Gaza’s abandonment, and now the egregious actions of a Jewish Army and Police removing Jews from their homes in Judea and Samaria, the Jordan Valley and the Golan Heights with the surrender of Jerusalem to be the capital of the Muslim Palestinians.

In brief, Israel without her Nuclear Deterrence would be an irresistible target for Muslim invasion. The U.S. knows this and IF it were up to the U.S. State Department, they would offer pledges to defend Israel should she come under attack by any hostile state or group of hostile states.

I am certain that they would arrive, along with the Europeans to rescue a handful of survivors, bury the dead and build monuments and museums - unless, of course, the area was rendered radio-active.

The day that Ehud Olmert and the Left decide to scrap Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence for a scrap of paper that is the day for the Israeli military to tuck away the government on the Isle of Elba that Napoleon was exiled to. Then they must get on with the business of defending the nation.

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Emanuel A. Winston is a member of the Advisory Board and a research associate of the Freeman Center For Strategic Studies.