THE MACCABEAN ONLINE
Published by the Freeman Center For Strategic Studies
VOLUME 14             B"H   July 2007             NUMBER 4


POLITICAL ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY ON ISRAELI & JEWISH AFFAIRS
"For Zion's sake I will not hold My peace, And for Jerusalem's sake I will not rest"


TABLE OF CONTENTS
July 2007

 

MILITARY/STRATEGIC,ISRAELI POLITICAL, JEWISH HISTORY

  • Emanuel A. Winston's PRE-EMPTIVE JUDGEMENT ..............Emanuel A. Winston

    POLITICAL SATIRE, ISRAELI POLITICAL, JEWISH HISTORY

  • ISRAEL'S "GROUNDHOG DAY" ..............Emanuel A. Winston

     

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    Freeman Note: It is important to remember that Israel's acceptance of military aid from the USA ties its security and foreign policy to the whims of the anti-Semitic US State Department and some future pro-Arab Democrat President. Also, the dictates of other nations will likely remove Israel's strategic depth won dearly in the 67 and 73 wars. The moral rot inside Israel's establishment can not be counterred with high tech weaponry. In the final analysis, unless decisive measures are taken to revive Zionist rule in Jerusalem, Israel will fail to survive much longer. It hurts me to say these things, but I have always been forced by HaShem to tell my people the truth about the Harsh Realities they face. Wake up O Israel!..........Bernard J. Shapiro

    Einstein Albert Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
    Einstein Albert Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former
    .
    ---------------------------------------------
    PRE-EMPTIVE JUDGEMENT
    by Emanuel A. Winston,

    Member of the Board of Directors and Research Associate
    Freeman Center For Strategic Studies

    If there was ever any reason to bring Israel’s current Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to trial, it is for what he and former Prime Minister Arik Sharon did by abandoning 10,000 Jewish men, women and children living in Gush Katif/Gaza (plus 4 North Samarian communities)...and the unconscionable number of Israelis who will be killed or maimed by their action in the expected coming war. Clearly, employing Pre-Emptive Judgement is the wise course, given that Olmert and his confederates wish to repeat Gaza as soon as possible - by abandoning Judea and Samaria.

    A constant flow of munitions have been smuggled into the hands of first Fatah and now Hamas. We all knew that Egypt, with malice aforethought, refused to close its Sinai smuggling borders with Gaza and, in fact, aided the smuggling with no objection from Olmert. They turned a blind eye to the tunnels, some of which were found to start in Egyptian army camps.
    Now Olmert, his Kadima crowd and Israel’s new President Shimon Peres declare they plan to repeat the Gaza trap by surrendering Judea and Samaria, putting all of Israel’s population centers within easy range of Muslim Rockets and Katyusha Missiles from Gaza, South Lebanon and (after we surrender) from the Muslims within Israel’s heartland of Judea and Samaria.

    As the tonnage of explosives, missiles and the trained men from all the terrorist training camps in the Middle East, Africa and Al Qaeda flowed in, Olmert refused to allow the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) to stop this smuggling, even to the point of holding the IDF back from a forceful re-entry to stop the daily barrages of Kassam Rockets which are hitting the town of Sderot and the city of Ashkelon. For this alone Olmert should be tried and imprisoned.

    But, keep in mind that Olmert is a weak and twisty man, easily manipulated by the Bush regime for the purpose of the transfer of Land G-d gave to the Israelites in perpetuity. Remember that Bush intends to leave as a legacy the fiction that he brought peace to the Middle East.
    On June 25, 2007 Barbara Opall-Rome wrote a hair-raising article in the prestigious U.S. Defense News. Her main, introductory theme was a pledge by President Bush to increase military aid to Israel due to the increased capability of Hamas. But, the U.S. actually plans to balance the deal to sell Saudi Arabia $20 billion worth of America’s best armaments and weapons’ systems. What Ms. Rome reported about the arms that Hamas has and will get is perhaps the most disturbing. Therefore, I will start with the end of her report. (1)

    Ms. Rome tells us that the Hamas take-over of the Gaza Strip creates a veritable arms bazaar as smugglers from the Sinai easily flow through the Egyptian lines. Olmert knows all this and couldn’t care less if his restraint of the IDF is any indication.

    Ms. Rome quotes Israel’s Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center March report on security data which estimates that Hamas has 16,000 rifles, 40 tons of explosives, 1,800 anti-tank missiles, second-generation night vision gear, 50 rockets, hundreds of RPGs (Rocket Propelled Grenades) and 20 anti-aircraft missiles.

    (Note! Keep in mind that this would be considered a conservative estimate - as of June 25th. Given Israel’s low estimate of what they thought Hezb’Allah had accumulated in Lebanon of Katyusha Missiles, in addition to Sharon and Olmert ignoring six years of the Hezb’Allah tunneling and bunker building in Lebanon and now in Gaza, I would guess that Hezb’Allah has at least double what Hamas has accumulated.)
    I would also add that we lost those American-supplied munitions to Abu Mazen’s Fatah before Hamas easily (too easily) conquered them and confiscated the tonnage of rifles, ammunition, mortars, shoulder-fired missiles and all the rolling stock, namely trucks and other vehicles - some possibly armored.

    There is every indication that, with Abu Mazen’s approval, the attacks against Fatah by Hamas were allowed to proceed with no real defense by the superior forces of Fatah. Apparently the intention was to further arm Hamas (who created Hamastan in Gaza). Later Abu Mazen and Hamas would reconcile with a combined army of considerable force. In the interim, America and other donor countries would re-arm Fatah with new weapons under the guise that Fatah (supposedly no longer connected to Hamas) was "moderate" and worthy of being a "peaceful state" in Judea and Samaria alongside Israel.

    I suppose this would be James Baker’s idea of driving the 250,000 Jewish men, women and children out of Judea and Samaria with Hamas and Fatah re-unified, making up a Southern Front with Hamas in Gaza. Hezb’Allah has rearmed and is now a powerful Northern Front. Fatah alone (with several other PLO Terror organizations) in Judea and Samaria would be the "Internal" Front (or Fifth Column) - coming from the 7 cities deeded to them by Yitzhak Rabin and Shimon Peres in the Oslo subversion.

    Ms. Opall-Rome goes on to report that Hamas, in addition to illicit imports, has started its own indigenous manufacture of rockets, mortars and, no doubt, IEDs (Improvised Explosive Devices) now being exported into Iraq by Iran to kill American and Allied soldiers.
    "More alarming" Rome says, "is Hamas’ ability to produce anti-tank missiles, capable of penetrating 200 millimeters of steel from ranges of 250 meters. (That means it can go through the ‘glacis’ - front of a tank’s heavy armor.) This is based on the Russian PG-2" – with Putin’s assistance.

    All of the above is the doing of Sharon, Olmert, Peres and Livni in their casual intent to turn Gaza over to the Muslims for what all experts knew and said would become a super Global Terror base. Have you heard any apology from these incompetents for putting Sderot, Ashkelon and other towns under rocket fire? Did anyone "fall on their sword" for these extreme actions of poor judgement causing casualties? No, except for Chief of Staff Gen. Halutz. He retired. The rest are still in power, Olmert in the Prime Ministry, with Ehud Barak in the Defense Ministry, Tzipi Livni Foreign Ministry and now Shimon Peres in the President’s house.
    As for the Bush gesture to increase military aid to Israel, that is all well and good, except the U.S. Intelligence knows a war is coming before Israel can really get the level of munitions to effectively stop Hamas who say they plan to kill a lot of Israelis. Besides it is a false gesture to silence opposition from Israel and the American Congress over the $20 Billion sale of advanced weaponry to Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf oil states.

    In an article I wrote on July 25th, entitled "Planning to Lose A War?", I opined that Olmert and his Leftist conspirators believe that allowing Hamas/Fatah to defeat Israeli forces will effectively transfer Judea and Samaria into the hands of Palestinians. The same plan would be used to allow Syria to overrun the Golan, thereby, transferring the Golan Heights without negotiations and interference by the citizens of Israel. Some would call that treason and a hanging offense, especially for the casualties it will cause.

    Perhaps you will recall the same sort of double cross when then President Bill Clinton promised then Prime Minister Ehud Barak $800 million if he abandoned the Israeli security zone in South Lebanon. Barak ordered his infamous midnight run, thereby leaving the vacuum for Hezb’Allah and the July 2006 Second Lebanon War where 4,000 Katyusha missiles were launched against the Israeli civilians in the North of Israel.
    Clinton never fulfilled his part of this Faustian bargain. No $800 million was forthcoming, although that is the same amount Bush is offering Olmert to cut-and-run. Barak betrayed Israel’s Lebanese allies and the Israeli people for the promise of cash which Israel never received. Now, as re-appointed Defense Minister by Olmert, all Barak has to do is cripple Israel’s defenses and insure the transfer of Judea, Samaria and the Golan Heights into the hands of the Arabs with, of course, under the table guarantees by Bush and Baker.

    Keep an eye on that $800 million because so far it’s been sold twice and no telling how many more times it will be re-sold.
    As a significant aside, Bush wishes to push through a $20 Billion Dollar arms package to Saudi Arabia. Israel is being bribed with approximately an $800 million increase per year in military aid to keep its mouth shut and no derailing of the Saudi deal. What is NOT being said is that Saudi Arabia, with its already vast American-supplied weapons’ stock, will one day be overthrown by the Muslim Jihadists such as the Muslim Brotherhood who will then control the most fearsome weapons at their disposal, plus control over the Saudi oil fields.

    Similarly, that happened when Jimmy Carter assisted the Ayatollah Khomeini to leave exile in France and return to take over Iran. Some of America’s most advanced weapons’ systems fell into Khomeini’s hands and from there they went to the then Soviet Union.
    The U.S. lost the advanced F-14 Tomcat which reappeared in Soviet inventory as the MIG30. America also lost the Phoenix missile system and that too went to the Soviets. It’s just a matter of time before both the Saudis and Egypt fall to the Muslim Brotherhood and both have gigantic inventories of America’s most advanced weapons’ technology and missile systems.

    If you look at a map of the Middle East, the linkage of a nuclear Iran, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan (with the Arab Palestinians in the middle) moving south to Egypt, Libya, Sudan, Algeria... you would have a deadly necklace of killer Muslim states.
    Now, do you really think that, today’s President Bush will forward the promised money to build up Israel so she can have weapons’ superiority or even parity with her hostile neighboring countries? The bribe wasn’t really necessary because Olmert and Kadima were ready to throw up their hands in surrender - for nothing in return.

    Therefore, it is time for PRE-EMPTIVE JUDGEMENT before Judea and Samaria are surrendered by a coalition of Israel’s corrupt leaders working with foreign governments to re-partition Israel and try to appease the Arabs. This then will be the legacy of the Bush family, the current Israeli government and the Israeli Left.

    ###
    1. "Bush Pledges Hike in Military Aid to Israel: Arms Industry in Gaza Sparks Alarm" by Barbara Opall-Rome June 25, 2007
    2. "U.S. Set to Offer Huge Arms Deal to Saudi Arabia: $20 Billion Gulf Package - Doubt about Kingdom’s Role in Iraq May be a Hurdle in Congress" by David S. Cloud New York Times July 28, 2007

     


     

    Israel's "Groundhog Day"
    By Steven Shanok

    American Thinker _ March 1, 2007
    Freeman Center For Strategic Studies

    Einstein Albert Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. [This perfectly describes the Israeli government.]
    Einstein Albert Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former.


    What would you do if you were stuck in one place, everything is the same, and nothing you did mattered?" This is the lament of TV weatherman Phil (played by actor Bill Murray) in the modern classic movie Groundhog Day.

    Resentful over his yearly assignment of having to cover the Groundhog Day ceremonies in the small town of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, TV Phil is irritable and uncooperative with his news team, and increasingly sarcastic in his reporting. His behavior towards the local town people is condescending and dismissive. He just wants to finish and get out. But fate intervenes, as a snowstorm closes the road back to Pittsburgh and Phil must stay the night. When he awakes in the morning, it is still February 2, Groundhog Day, all over again, and again, and again. He is reliving the same day over and over and tries to tell his TV producer and anyone else who will listen that he has been there and done that, but they think he's loony and ignore his complaints.

    The Israeli people are experiencing the same nightmarish time warp as TV Phil. Only the stakes are much higher, and the time warp far longer - the Israelis are reliving not the same day but the same decades over and over. And the reliving is not just a singular experience; the same nightmare is inherited from father and mother to son and daughter - dor l'dor, generation to generation.

    Thus, in 1947, some 25 years after Winston Churchill cut away 80% of the Jewish Mandated Palestine gave it to the ousted (Arabian) King Abdullah who renamed it Transjordan (See note Transjordan below), the United Nations Partition Plan confiscated half of the remaining 20% of the land in an effort to appease the Arabs and gain their agreement to live in peace with a Jewish State. Notwithstanding that the Arabs would now possess 90% of the original mandated land, a reluctant David Ben-Gurion, on behalf of the Jewish population, accepted the give away. The die was cast: land for peace; and Arab rejection. Day one of "Groundhog Day."
    Awaken to July l967. Israel, acting in self-defense from an aggressive war launched in part from the 10% of land previously extorted from the Jews and given to the Arabs (so-called "land for peace" became land for war), repatriated Judea, Samaria and Gaza. As if reliving the era of the imposed Partition Plan, Israeli citizens awoke to the nightmare of Israel Defense Minister Moshe Dayan unilaterally returning the keys of the Temple Mount to the Moslem Waqf, and their Labor Party-led government pronouncing that it was willingly awaiting a "phone call" from the Arabs so that it could voluntarily give them the recently repatriated land. The Arabs did respond to the Labor Party's gift: Arab leaders meeting in Khartoum in November 1967 adopted a formula of three noes: "No peace with Israel, no negotiation with Israel, no recognition of Israel." Once again: land offered for peace, and Arab rejection. Day two of "Groundhog Day."
    Wake to 1968. The United States elects Richard Nixon to his first term as President. Nixon appoints William Rogers as Secretary of State, who gives birth to the "Rogers Plan," demanding a unilateral withdrawal by Israel to the pre-1967 borders without any corresponding Arab commitment to the peace and security of Israel. But the Arabs cannot stomach being in the same room with an Israeli to even accept Roger's gift of Israeli land - a real deal killer! Day three of "Groundhog Day."

    Toss and turn and wake to post-Yom Kippur, 1973. A bloodied but victorious Israel rouses itself only to learn of the "Kissinger Disengagement Plan," in which the American Secretary of State declared that the Israelis should return a "few lousy kilometers," including the conquered town of Kuneitra on the Golan Heights to Syria, notwithstanding its unprovoked sneak attack on Israel. This "roadmap" would display Israel's good intentions in allowing Syrian civilians to return to their homes, and might encourage the Palestinian Arabs to take note and then accept land for peace. Israel relented; Syria was allowed to reoccupy Kuneitra on condition that it normalize the town with civilian residents, not soldiers. They never have to this day. The message of Kuneitra is not lost on the Palestinian Arabs: take what you can get, and never give what you promised in return. Day four of "Groundhog Day."
    Jump to 1979 and Camp David I.

    For the first time, Israel is governed by a non-Labor Party, the Likud. No matter - the Israelis are destined to relive the same day once again. President Carter obtains Prime Minister Begin's commitment for "autonomy" for the Palestinian Arabs and a freeze on Israeli "settlements." Land for Peace. Or, as Israelis have already learned, Land for No Peace. Day five of "Groundhog Day."
    Skip to 1991. The Bush/Baker Madrid Conference, foisted on Israel after the First Gulf War, with Prime Minister Shamir forced to attend under threat of loss of loan guarantees for the resettlement of waves of Russian immigrants. The Conference is an open and unsubtle gift paid with Israeli coinage to the Palestinian Arabs who were resentful over the defeat of their benefactor Saddam Hussein in the first Persian Gulf War. Secretary of State James Baker proposes a unique dual formula to solve the Arab-Israeli problem: freeze all Jewish settlement activity, and land for peace. Day six of "Groundhog Day."

    Awake in 1993, but Israel finds itself back to square one. The Labor Party and Yitzchak Rabin are again in control. The Oslo Accords and the American movie "Groundhog Day" appear in tandem (perhaps not coincidentally, as noted by columnist Sarah Honig in her Jerusalem Post article of July 18, 2003). The former is far more comical than the latter, with Arafat's unconditional promise to forever reject violence as a solution to the dispute. Day seven of "Groundhog Day."

    Slumber fitfully to 1998 and awaken to an Israel with Prime Minister Netanyahu but without Shechem (Nablus) and Hevron (Hebron), given by him as succor to Arafat for an end to the very Arab violence previously renounced but actively supported. The comedy continues, as does reliving the same day by another name: the Wye River Memorandum. Day eight of "Groundhog Day."

    Jarred awake again by Camp David 2000, an eruption known as Ehud Barak gives forth unimagined concessions overflowing like lava from an active volcano in consideration for which Arafat is once again importuned to eschew violence. But the only ones burned are the Israelis: the Arab response causes 781 killed, 5,471 injured, and 17,633 attacks between September 2000 through May 28, 2003. Day nine of "Groundhog Day."
    Another dawn, another plan, 2002-2003, the "Road Map." The Palestinian Arabs are the invited passengers in the stretch limousine driven by the "Quartet" (the European Union, Russia, the United Nations, and the United States) to a destination known as a "Palestinian State." They will arrive in 2005. They need only to dismantle their terrorist organizations, arrest the murderers, and collect their weapons. PA Prime Minister Abbas refuses, citing the need to avoid a civil war (which is exactly what needs to be fought!).

    The road trip continues nevertheless. It is abundantly clear to even those who sleep that there is more profit to be made in violation of agreements than in compliance. Day 10 of "Groundhog Day."
    June 29, 2003, the rooster crows hudna, a temporary cease fire declared by the terrorist organizations. Writing a script only Joseph Heller (author of Catch 22) could love, Prime Minister Sharon, in an effort to prop up Abbas, agrees to release the very type of prisoners from Israeli jails that Abbas is required to arrest and imprison under the terms of the "Road Map." And while Sharon continued to relinquish control of land in Judea and Samaria to the Arabs as good will gestures, there were 180 terrorist attacks during the self-declared "cease fire," resulting in the deaths of 31 Israelis and the wounding of hundreds of others. Land for Pieces of Israelis. Day 11 of "Groundhog Day."

    December 2003, The Herzliya Conference. The denizens troubled dozing is disrupted by the clamorous sounds of "dismantling and disengaging." Unfortunately, these are not mere hallucinations. They are the stark reality of the "Unilateral Disengagement" plan of Prime Minister Sharon. Thus, in view of the Arab failure to fulfill even one condition of their past agreements, Sharon will show them. He will retreat from Gaza, and in its wake destroy every Jewish home, and expel every Jewish person - unconditionally. And if that is not enough, he will throw out more Jews and lay waste to a few more towns in Judea and Samaria as well. So take that! Land for Nothing! Day 12 of "Groundhog Day."

    Is the Jewish State capable of ending its time warp? In the fictional movie "Groundhog Day," TV Phil slowly began to realize that it was his own repeated misbehavior that was denying him his future.
    His capacity to reevaluate and change his conduct, goals and values uplifted him over and out of the time warp and delivered him to his ultimate redemption. Likewise, it is Israel's repeated acceptance of faulty premises which doom it to repeatedly travel a circular road on which the Palestinian Arabs can drive off at their whim (for acts of violence) and then get right back on at the same point, never having been penalized even the loss of one kilometer for their reckless driving. How long is any civilized society expected to accommodate such conduct?

    Israel must finally acknowledge the actual Arab motivation in its war against Israel. It is not Arab despair over a poor economy, uneducated youth, or lack of self-determination. The Palestinian Arab economy was flourishing between 1993 and 2000 until Arafat began his latest war against the Jews. Furthermore, data shows that 38 percent of the suicide bombers had university educations, and 47 percent had high school diplomas. Most importantly, the Arabs never had national aspirations before the coming of Zionism. And thereafter, the national Arab movement never focused its aims at a state within Israel, but rather on eliminating the State of Israel itself. The Arabs could have had their state within Israel in 1947 but refused; and from 1948 to 1967, Palestinian Arab nationalism vanished when the territories were in the hands of Jordan and Egypt. In 2000, Palestinian Arab nationalism could have been satisfied with Barak's willingness to concede virtually all of Judea, Samaria, and Gaza. But it is not what they want.

    None other than British Foreign Minister Ernest Bevin, not exactly known for his affection for the Jews, stated to the British Parliament in 1947:
    To the Jews, the essential point of principle is the creation of a sovereign Jewish State. To the Arabs, the essential point of principle is to resist to the last the establishment of Jewish sovereignty in any part of Palestine.
    Arab motivation is defined by its negative nature and is based upon a simple premise: the elimination of Jewish sovereignty over any part of Israel. Nothing else will satisfy. And as long as Israeli political leaders fail to admit this unimpeachable fact, and continue to give credibility to the same failed "plan," albeit wrapped in new clothes with a different name, Israel will be shackled to the interminable misery of everyday as "Groundhog Day."

    Notes:

    Transjordan
    The site http://www.mythsandfacts.org/ReplyOnlineEdition/chapter-2.html contains the following maps. This is from Chapter 2 of the book Reply. This book, available for free from mythsandfacts.com, is a reply to the International Court of Justice's opinion on the wall Israel is building.
    1920 - Original territory assigned to the Jewish National Home
    1922 - Final territory assigned to the Jewish National Home