Published by The Freeman Center
The Maccabean Online
Political Analysis and Commentary
Obama’s Nuke-Deal Will Let Iran Get the Bomb Sooner
By Mark Langfan
13 January, 2014
The problem with Chamberlain’s 1938 Munich appeasement of Hitler wasn’t merely that Chamberlain mistakenly “thought he had saved world peace.” It was that Chamberlain didn’t realize that, by giving Hitler the topographic-beachhead of the Czech-Sudetenland under the Munich diplomatic-umbrella, Chamberlain accelerated, rather than retarded, Hitler’s time-table for his military conquests. Chamberlain’s truly catastrophic mistake was that he misjudged the rapidity of Hitler’s post-Munich mobilization and military moves. Consequently, 70 million people died in World War II.
The problem with Obama’s 2013 Geneva nuclear-appeasement of Iran wasn’t merely that Obama mistakenly “thought he had saved world peace.” It was that Obama didn’t realize that by giving Iran the nuclear-beachhead under the Geneva diplomatic-umbrella, Obama accelerated, rather than retarded, Iran’s time-table for its nuclear advances and conquests. Obama’s truly catastrophic mistake is that he is misjudging the rapidity of Iran’s post-Geneva mobilization and nuclear moves. Consequently, 100 million people will likely die in the coming World War III.
While the actual text of the Obama-Iran Geneva Nuke deal is a legal and substantive horror-show, three specific critical legal loopholes to the Geneva text ensure that Iran’s nuclear program will now accelerate and go nuclear. In essence, the Geneva “Agreement” which was designed to ostensibly deny Iran a nuclear weapon will ensure it quickly attains one. Iran’s recent announcement that Iran just created a new series of centrifuges is the start of what will be a torrent pace of Iran’s short-term nuclear-bomb technological breakthroughs.
Some of the actual text of the legal loophole section is as follows:
“This comprehensive solution would enable Iran to fully enjoy its right to nuclear energy for peaceful purposes under the relevant articles of the NPT in conformity with its obligations therein. This comprehensive solution would involve a mutually defined enrichment programme with practical limits and transparency measures to ensure the peaceful nature of the programme. This comprehensive solution would constitute an integrated whole where nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. This comprehensive solution would involve a reciprocal, step-by- step process, and would produce the comprehensive lifting of all UN Security Council sanctions, as well as multilateral and national sanctions related to Iran's nuclear programme.
There would be additional steps in between the initial measures and the final step, including, among other things, addressing the UN Security Council resolutions, with a view toward bringing to a satisfactory conclusion the UN Security Council's consideration of this matter. The E3+3 and Iran will be responsible for conclusion and implementation of mutual near-term measures and the comprehensive solution in good faith.”
Elements of a First Step
The first step would be time-bound, with a duration of 6 months, and renewable by mutual consent, during which all parties will work to maintain a constructive atmosphere for negotiations in good faith.
Iran would undertake the following voluntary measures:
Iran announces that it will not make any further advances of its activities at the Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant, Fordow, or the Arak reactor, designated by the IAEA as IR-40.”
The first textual legal loophole is that the Geneva Document creates a mythical-to-be-agreed-upon future “first step” when the “six month period” would supposedly begin to go into effect. The Geneva text creates a “pre-first step” gap window of time between November 24 and to an undetermined future date of the “first step” before anything remotely occurs.
So Iran, with the absolute diplomatic and umbrella sanction of what is at best a Geneva “press release,” can now start sprinting to a nuke. It’s as if Obama has sanctioned and given diplomatic cover for Iran’s sprinting to a bomb as long as Iran says it may stop sprinting at some time in the indeterminate future.
The second loophole is that the November 2013 Geneva agreement does not remotely require Iran to stop Iran’s nuclear work even after the mythical-to-be-determined-“
So, as of the future undetermined “first step,” Iran is only to not make “further advances” past whatever technological achievements it has achieved. So, rather than slow Iran down before the “first step”, by the Geneva terms it gives Iran an actual incentive to race to whatever “advances” it can before parties agree that the Geneva Agreement has started the “first step”.
Then, even once the “first step” has started, Iran can do anything it wants in those facilities up to and including all of its post-November 2013 pre-“first step” “advances”.
Then, there is an additional and even greater problem with this language in that, who knows what exactly constitutes “advances” and who is to determine exactly what constitutes “advances”? Has Iran disclosed all of its “advances”? No. Must Iran under the Geneva document disclose all of its “advances”? No. So, in fact, the exact definition of what nuclear work Iran is actually barred from doing past the undefined “advances” goes from fuzzy to undefinable to unenforceable to unverifiable.
Then there is the ultimate “nothing is agreed until everything is agreed to” loophole. The Geneva document in two places makes clear that despite any “agreements” Iran is not bound by any single term until an absolute total agreement has been made final. So, don’t break out the champagne just yet!
In short, the Obama Geneva Nuclear Agreement is a green-light diplomatic cover for Iran to race to a nuclear bomb.
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The writer, who writes on security issues, has created an original educational 3D Topographic Map System of Israel to facilitate clear understanding of the dangers facing Israel and its water supply. It has been studied by US lawmakers and can be seen at www.marklangfan.com.